Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.770301 9.819801 11.010301 12.475090 14.249113 16.355202 19.086774
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.146207 8.482517 10.143142 12.413033 15.528059 19.808295 26.447857
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.227161 7.662694 9.552740 12.324679 16.483577 22.880580 34.443274
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.745493 7.282610 9.406925 12.720124 18.115846 27.387536 47.156940
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.143404 6.640628 8.774065 12.237409 18.199890 29.291842 56.204904
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.652170 6.092208 8.193577 11.715241 18.060467 30.693455 65.215989
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.292944 5.694988 7.786202 11.397037 18.194154 32.677948 77.660998
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.046851 5.439574 7.564035 11.348404 18.814576 35.978655 98.247096
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.013903 5.499569 7.841918 12.215051 21.498417 45.693583 163.316950
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.914339 5.444407 7.920930 12.725029 23.576600 55.274109 267.030576
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.742543 5.258747 7.757252 12.735032 24.491980 61.948089 396.024091
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.593524 5.098026 7.619796 12.774726 25.499052 69.866970 638.760838
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.378604 4.829048 7.292821 12.433030 25.583897 75.107978 1006.993031
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.217348 4.641468 7.101200 12.367566 26.483219 85.548014 2352.611242
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.070101 4.466039 6.913614 12.279552 27.304703 97.145754 8870.835173
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.994812 4.407304 6.936718 12.672826 29.802607 123.946724 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.827488 4.177012 6.610658 12.192750 29.237022 128.879691 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.669827 3.955115 6.284818 11.673380 28.400620 130.934594 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.546547 3.787453 6.053160 11.356852 28.219202 139.190204 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.460748 3.681673 5.935524 11.308473 29.035422 160.050470 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.469155 3.744894 6.160394 12.170513 33.871965 254.798107 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.440781 3.738842 6.242945 12.677704 37.627447 381.255300 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.371634 3.653003 6.150801 12.687652 39.111673 485.622510 NaN